Insights & News
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The Impact of Higher Interest Rates on Hedge Fund Strategies
With a risk-free rate of 5%, investors have options that were not available two years ago, and this is now the bogey that managers are compared to. So, do higher rates improve a hedge fund’s performance expectations, or are they a headwind? As with most things, it depends.
Finding Value in Drawdowns
Investors' natural aversion to drawdowns can lead some to harmful action or inaction well-described in the field of behavioral finance. The best strategic and tactical investors harness a disciplined pursuit of value to capture the available excess return.
Performance Drivers Return for Quant Macro and Trend Following
Many investors are rediscovering Quant Macro and Trend Following after a bruising 2022 for equities, bonds, and other asset classes. The S&P 500 lost -18%, but worse, bonds lost -13% when they were supposed to provide much relied-upon diversification. By comparison, indices like the SG Trend Index returned +27% in 2022, recapturing investors’ interest in Quant Macro and Trend Following.
Are Trend Strategies Dead?
Investors have asked us this question given the lackluster, and frankly disappointing, performance of many of their Trend managers prior to 2019. Industry observers have opined on this as well, and they sometimes attribute disappointing performance to things like:...
Tail Risk: About 5x Worse Than You May Think
After enduring the (40%) global equity market collapse of 2008, investors large and small are eager to reexamine the perils posed by equity market “tail risk”...
Diversification: Often Discussed, but Frequently Misunderstood
Diversification remains the cornerstone of modern portfolio theory. Yet, during the financial crisis many “diversifying” investments readily followed the direction of the equity markets as they collapsed in 2008 and...
Two Welton Programs Shortlisted for the 2023 HFM US Performance Awards
We are honored to share that Welton Trend and Welton ESG Advantage were shortlisted for awards at this year’s 2023 HFM US Performance Awards. Thank you to HFM, and hearty congratulations to the distinguished fellow nominees listed below.
The 60/40 Portfolio Is Back — But Is It Safe?
The wisdom of the venerable 60/40 allocation was questioned in 2021 amid the end of the 40-year bond bull market. But now, some major media outlets are declaring that 60/40 is back. But is it safe?
Welton Proudly Accepts the SBAI’s Invitation to Join as a Core Supporter
Welton is pleased join this select group of institutional investors and asset managers devoted to serving the SBAI's mission to improve outcomes within the alternatives industry.
SBAI Paris Members Lunch | Paris, France
Join us on November 22 for Matthieu Claudel's panel, “New Forms of Partnerships,” featuring representatives from CDPQ, New Alpha, and SBAI.
Talking Hedge | Marina del Rey, CA
Join us on October 18 for Dr. Patrick Welton's panel, "Beyond 60/40: The Role of Diversifying Strategies & Customized Solutions," featuring representatives from Albourne, San Bernardino County Retirement System, Investcorp-Tages, and Crabel.
Texas RIA Summit | Dallas, TX
Join us on September 21 to see Bill Marr's panel, "Recalibrating the 60/40 Asset Allocation Model," where panelists will discuss tactics to help clients navigate inflation, higher interest rates, and increasingly frequent market shocks over the short and long-term.