Insights

Advisors’ Guide to the 2025 Stock Market: Optimism Now, Challenges Ahead

Advisors face an equity market landscape marked by opportunity and challenge. The near-term outlook for 2025 has many strategists forecasting double-digit gains for U.S. equities, driven by robust earnings growth, resilient consumer demand, and innovation in sectors like AI. Potential policy tailwinds like tax cuts and decreased regulation further support optimism.

Finding Value in Drawdowns

Investors’ natural aversion to drawdowns can lead some to harmful action or inaction well-described in the field of behavioral finance. The best strategic and tactical investors harness a disciplined pursuit of value to capture the available excess return.

Performance Drivers Return for Quant Macro and Trend Following

Many investors are rediscovering Quant Macro and Trend Following after a bruising 2022 for equities, bonds, and other asset classes. The S&P 500 lost -18%, but worse, bonds lost -13% when they were supposed to provide much relied-upon diversification. By comparison, indices like the SG Trend Index returned +27% in 2022, recapturing investors’ interest in Quant Macro and Trend Following.

Welton Investment Partners